Posts Tagged ‘bets’
Your Opponent Might Be Bluffing If Part3
July 27th, 2009
Remember that your running count is meant be a count of only the number of bets you win and lose, and not the number of times you make the bet or the number pots you win or lose. Count only the number of bets that go in and out of your stack of chips.
I recommend that you do not perform this exercise during the same playing session as the next exercise. Keep them separate. Even though they are both about bluffing, I think it will help keep you focused if you perform them on separate days.
Now put the shoe on the other foot. Let’s look at only those times you’re in the pot on the river, you’re first to bet, and you know that the only way you can win the hand is to bet as a pure bluff. These are the only hands we want to count for this exercise. Jackpotjoy roulette
Again, you’re going to keep a running count of the number of bets you win and lose when attempting to bluff. If you attempt to bluff and get caught, your running count is -1. If you try it six more times and lose all six of those times, your running count is down to -7. If you then bluff and win a pot with 25 bets in it, your running count is now up to +18. In this example, you can see that you attempted to bluff eight times, lost seven of those times and yet, you’re a whopping 18 big bets ahead when it comes to bluffing! See what the power of pot odds can do for you? You always have to count the pot when you have an important decision to make. Whenever you see a player fold his hand while saying, “The pot’s not big enough,” you know that he’s a player who understands pot odds.
The object of the above exercises is for you to have a positive running count in bluffing and catching bluffs. If you find that you’re right virtually every time that you decide to snap off a suspected bluff, you’re not calling enough in those situations. Loosen up and call a little more often in those spots. Conversely, if you succeed almost every time you try to bluff, you’re definitely not bluffing enough. If it works almost every time, why don’t you try bluffing a little more often?
Don’t go overboard, though. When I’m in a spot where the pot odds are only slightly favorable, I usually pass! If I need odds of 8:1 and I’m getting 9:1, for example, I’ll usually fold as if the odds were slightly worse than what I need rather than slightly better (as they are). online betting
Why? Well, close calls cause you to have big fluctuations in your bankroll without adding substantially to your overall winnings or hourly rate. I realize that I might be giving up a very slight mathematical edge but I simply don’t like fluctuations in my bankroll. I just like to see it steadily grow with each passing hour in the game.
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Poker – Your Opponent Might Be Bluffing If…
July 25th, 2009
1. It seems like he missed a flush or straight draw. Maybe the flop had two cards of the same suit and another one did not come on the turn or the river. Or maybe there was an obvious straight draw that did not get there. In a case like that, his only option might be to try a bluff.
2. It's just the two of you. If he's first to bet, or if you're first and you check to him, he could be bluffing. He won't always be bluffing just because there are only the two of you, but it's something you should keep in mind.
3. It cost him only one bet to steal the pot. If your opponent can induce you to make a mistake that will cost you the pot, and he can do so for only one bet, clearly he'll want to try that.
4. The pot is huge. I'd say that any pot with more than fifteen big bets qualifies in most players' minds as a huge pot, and is worthy of a steal attempt.
5. The player betting on the river, who's therefore possibly bluffing, raised preflop and no aces, kings, or queens are on the board.
6. Everyone checked on any round of the hand. This usually means that no one flopped anything worth protecting.
8. When two or more of the above reasons to believe your opponent might be bluffing are both true, the more likely it is that he's bluffing.
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